I am the originator of the Market Reduction Approach to theft (MRA), and my research in this area has, for more than a decade, influenced government policy advice and policy making in Britain and elsewhere. Several British police forces have sought to reduce theft with the MRA. This is rather remarkable since the MRA has never been shown to be effective. Clearly the MRA is a compelling crime reduction method, but I think that we should demand more than that of the approaches that are officially recommended as promising, good practice and effective.
To say that the MRA is effective or good practice is a spuriofact.
Impact on policy of the MRA and other policy oriented criminology
In 1999, the MRA was implemented for the first time when Kent Constabulary sought to use it in its Operation Radium to reduce high levels of burglary and other theft in the Medway Towns of Rochester, Chatham, Gillingham, Rainham and Strood, which were given the collective pseudonym South Town (Home Office 2004). This initiative led to the passing of several local Acts of Parliament throughout England to regulate trade in second hand goods, with an aim to reduce Supply by Theft (Sutton 1995) including the Kent Acts (2001) and the Nottingham City Council Act (2003).
The MRA was mentioned at National Government level, along with my work in Parliamentary debate (Hansard 2000) and the Kent Acts later in Parliamentary Business (Hansard 2004). In 1999, the British Home Office funded the implementation of the MRA in three police forces: Kent, West Mercia and Stockport in Greater Manchester (Home Office 2006), followed by a Government funded evaluation by the University of Kent of the implementation and impact of the MRA in Kent and Greater Manchester (Harris, Hale and Uglow 2003; Hale et al (2004).
Other MRA schemes have been implemented in Britain in Nottinghamshire and Derby City constabularies. In 2011, the MRA was defined as a core policing practice and as a performance indicator by both Nottinghamshire Constabulary and the City’s Crime Reduction Partnership. I continue to publish in the area of tackling stolen goods markets (e.g. Sutton 2010) and advise police at local, national and international levels. I occasionally act as an unpaid ad-hoc informal ‘sceptical friend’ (academic advisor) for various police forces through meetings, email and telephone conversations. In 2011, I addressed a British audience of chief police officers through the Association of Chief Police Officers (ACPO National Burglary Reduction Working Group) on the subject of the MRA and the importance of veracity to inform policy in policing and crime reduction (7/9/2011).
Although the MRA has been promoted as ‘good practice’ by the British Government and has been used by several police forces, it has not proved possible to evaluate its impact in reducing crime due to a number of factors, not least the extent of confounding variables that impact upon crime rates at both the local and national level. Despite lack of evidence of its effectiveness in reducing crime, the UK Government, US Government, Australian Government and New Zealand Government (somewhat surprisingly) promote it as good ‘effective’ policing and general crime reduction practice:
UK Government Website promoting my MRA See page 9 USA Government’s Department of Justice COPS programme international problem-oriented Practitioners policing guide for tackling stolen goods markets to reduce theft
US Department of justice also added my Home Office MRA guide to its website and an influential briefing note.
My report on tackling stolen goods markets is also recommended reading in US Department of Justice “Mayors’ Guide to effective policing and crime prevention and the MRA is recommended as one of the 60 steps for crime problem solvers.
Australian Government’s Institute of Criminology
New Zealand Ministry of Justice and also here .
Wider Influence of my MRA on Criminology
The MRA has been quite widely cited in the peer reviewed literature on crime reduction by criminologists. The MRA is also covered in many textbooks, e.g.:
Felson and Boba (2010)
Hagan ( 2010)
Chamley (2003)
Bullock and Tilley (2003)
Hopkins Burke (2004)
Sheptycki and Wardak (2005)
See Wikipedia 2011; 2011a; 2011b for a reasonably comprehensive list).
Here are just a few examples of how the MRA has influenced and/or been cited as important research in other areas beyond the theft of high volume consumer goods:
Wildlife crime and endangered species
Schneider JL. (2008) ‘Reducing the Illicit Trade in Wildlife: The Market Reduction Approach’. Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice 24:274–95: And here.
Trafficking in Ivory: Lemieux, A.M. and Clarke, R.V. (2009) The International Ban on Ivory Sales and its Effects on Elephant Poaching in Africa. British Journal of Criminology. Vol. 49.
Trafficking in people
Reduce human trafficking: Organisation of Security and Co-operation in Europe Report (e.g. see page 1) Combatting Trafficking in Humans: Organisation of Security and Co-operation in Europe Report (e.g. see page 1)
Art and Cultural artefact crime
Theft and Trafficking of Art and Cultural Artefacts: Manacorda, S. and Chappell, D. (eds.) (2011) Crime in the Art and Antiques World: Illegal Trafficking in Cultural Property. New York. Springer.
Some Examples of the Impact of My Other Work on Crime Reduction and Bias and Prejudice Reduction Policy Guidance and Policy Making
Within England
Publication of Sutton, M. Perry, B. Parke J. and John-Baptiste, C. (2007) Getting the Message Across: Using media to reduce ‘racial’ prejudice. Department of Communities and Local Government. London. (Peer reviewed national government research report). Led to keynote speaking engagement with National and local government representatives and members of anti-racism organisations: where I was Keynote speaker at a forum held in Scotland and funded by the Glasgow Anti-Racist Alliance (GARA). Subsequently, the Getting the Message Across report also used in a Coalition for Racial Equality and Rights submission to the Council of Europe Advisory Committee on the Framework Convention for the Protection of National Minorities.
Newcastle City Council relied upon the Getting the Message Across report to shape its policy making .
Within Scotland
On 26 August 2011, The Coalition for Racial Equality and Rights (formerly known as the Glasgow Anti Racist Alliance) sent a written submission to the Scottish Parliament’s Justice Committee regarding the Offensive Behaviour at Football and Threatening Communications (Scotland). Bill. The submission informed Parliament of the dangers of implementing uninformed racism reductions measures that are likely to backfire and make the problem worse. The submission cited the myth busting research contained within the ‘Getting the Message Across’ report (Sutton et al 2007). Policy making advice within the ‘Getting the Message Across’ report inspired the Glasgow Anti Racist Alliance (Now Coalition for Racial Equality and Human Rights - CREHR) to successfully apply for funding to test its recommendations. They wrote:
"The project was funded by the Equality and Human Rights Commission and used recommendations from the Communities and Local Government report “Getting the message across: using media to reduce racial prejudice and discrimination” (Sutton et al., 2007) as impetus to undertake a local research project.”
US Government Office of Justice
Click on ‘evidence base’ and ‘additional references’ at the end of the section in the report link given below to see how work I conducted in 1996 is used to construct a current US Office of Justice effective solutions guide . These sources were used in the development of the program profile, which lists: (1) Ekblom, P., Law, H. and Sutton, M. with assistance from Paul Crisp and Richard Wiggins. (1996). Safer Cities and Domestic Burglary. Home Office Research Study 164. London, England: Home Office; and (2) Sutton, M. (1996). Implementing Crime Prevention Schemes in a Multiagency Setting: Aspects of Process in the Safer Cities Programme. London, England: Home Office.
The US Government Office of Justice currently publishes a series of abstracts on my work. E.g.:
1. Crime Surveys in the 21st Century
2. Internet Crime
Other Academic Roles
Founding General Editor of the Internet Journal of Criminology.
Member of the editorial board of the Security Journal.
Founding Director of the Nottingham Centre for the Study and Reduction of Hate Crimes, Bias and Prejudice.
External Examiner for BA (Hons.) Criminology – BirminghamCity University
Within place of current employment (Nottingham Trent University):
Course Leader MA Criminology
Module leader for High Tech Crime
Module Leader for Crime Reduction and Community Safety
Member of Post Graduate Research Degrees Committee
Director of Studies for several PhD students
Notability
Notable Alumnus
Outside of the natural sciences, I was the first to be awarded a PhD at the University of Central Lancashire(UCL), where I am recognised as a notable alumnus due to my MRA concept. UCL use my notable work on the MRA as a prestige indicator in their promotions overseas. E.G: andhere .
My Research Reports in the UK National Archive
Several of my policy oriented research reports have been placed in the UK Government’s National Archive Collection. These include:
1.The Unit Fines Experiments
2. Safer Cities Evaluation
3. Handling Stolen Goods and the MRA
References
Hansard (2000). 1803-2005. 17th May. Kent County Council Bill (Lords) Commons Sitting – orders of the day. Vol. 350 cc.388-418. See also an extended debate in the House of Commons.
Hansard (2004) Written Answers. Bound Volume. Parliamentary Business. May 13, 2004. Column 573W—continued: Stolen Goods.
Harris, C. Hale, C and Uglow, S. (2003) Implementing a Market Reduction Approach to Property Crime. In: Tilley, N. and Bullock, K., (eds). Crime Reduction and Problem Oriented Policing. Devon, Willan.
Hale, C. Harris, C. Uglow, S. Gilling. L and Netten, A. (2004). Targeting the markets for stolen goods: two targeted policing initiative projects. Home Office Development and Practice Report 17.
Home Office (2004) Secure Design. Targeting the Markets for Stolen Goods: Two targeted policing initiative projects.
The National Archive: Home Office (2006) Tackling Burglary: Market Reduction Approach. Crime Reduction. The National Archive.
National Deviancy Conference (2011) Sutton, M, Hamilton, P., Long, M. and Hodgson, P. The Problem of Zombie Cops in Voodoo Criminology. National Deviancy Conference York. July/Aug.
Nottingham City Council Act (2003) Sutton, M. (1995) Supply by Theft: does the market for second-hand goods play a role in keeping crime figures high? British Journal of Criminology, Vol. 38, No 3, Summer.
Sutton, M. (2010) Stolen Goods Markets. Problem Oriented Policing Guide No. 57. U.S.A. Department of Justice COPS Programme. (Peer reviewed international policing guide.
Sutton, M. Perry, B. Parke J. and John-Baptiste, C. (2007) Getting the Message Across: Using media to reduce ‘racial’ prejudice. Department of Communities and Local Government. London.(Peer reviewed national government research report). http://www.communities.gov.uk/documents/communities/pdf/611667.pdf
The Kent Acts (2001). A Case for National Legislation: Report to the Secretary of State in compliance with section 20 (1) of the Kent County Council Act 2001 and section 20 (1) of the Medway Council Act 2001
Wikipedia (2011) The Market Reduction Approach.
Wikipedia (2011a) Criminology.
Wikipedia (2011b) Mike Sutton (criminologist)
A spuriofact is spurious information that is purported to be true by orthodox experts or official government sources. Spuriofacts are widely believed scientific fallacies, or else unsubstantiated scientific claims.
Disclaimer
Everything on this blog reflects my own ideas and opinions and either does not or else may not reflect those of my employer or any other organisation.
Monday, 31 October 2011
Saturday, 30 July 2011
Opportunity is not a cause of crime
The Crime as Opportunity Theory is not an explanation for crime. It is a truism because no crime can happen without an opportunity. The characteristics of opportunity are attributes of the crime scene data they do not explain it.
Saying that opportunity causes crime is like saying eohippus causes evolution.
Science keeps its explanations separate from the data it seeks to explain. Crime Science has failed to understand this basic scientific principle.
Opportunity occurs at the crime scene. There must have been an opportunity for any crime to have taken place. Therefore, it is a mere truism, not an explanation since it adds nothing more than an observation of characteristics and behaviour.
For example, an eohippus in the fossil record does not explain the origin of species. For that we needed Darwin's theory of evolution. Fossils cannot explain themselves. Eohippus cannot explain itself anymore than it can explain a horse - or perhaps more plausibly a fox. But the fossil record can refute Darwin's theory. If an eohippus ever turns up in the the Jurassic strata then we're going to need a new theory to explain it. Good scientific theories are refutable. Good scientific theories are hard to vary. The Crime as Opportunity explanation - being a mere truism - is impossible to refute. And it is infinitely variable as a post-hoc explanation. This makes it a bad explanation that adds nothing to knowledge of causality.
What crime as opportunity is, is a good discovery of the characteristics of crime.
But crime does not, and cannot, explain itself by is characteristics. For that we need a theory that explains why people are where they are, doing what they are doing and making particular choices that are driven by particular motivations within a given context.
Read the Crime Science dysology here.
Saying that opportunity causes crime is like saying eohippus causes evolution.
Science keeps its explanations separate from the data it seeks to explain. Crime Science has failed to understand this basic scientific principle.
Opportunity occurs at the crime scene. There must have been an opportunity for any crime to have taken place. Therefore, it is a mere truism, not an explanation since it adds nothing more than an observation of characteristics and behaviour.
For example, an eohippus in the fossil record does not explain the origin of species. For that we needed Darwin's theory of evolution. Fossils cannot explain themselves. Eohippus cannot explain itself anymore than it can explain a horse - or perhaps more plausibly a fox. But the fossil record can refute Darwin's theory. If an eohippus ever turns up in the the Jurassic strata then we're going to need a new theory to explain it. Good scientific theories are refutable. Good scientific theories are hard to vary. The Crime as Opportunity explanation - being a mere truism - is impossible to refute. And it is infinitely variable as a post-hoc explanation. This makes it a bad explanation that adds nothing to knowledge of causality.
What crime as opportunity is, is a good discovery of the characteristics of crime.
But crime does not, and cannot, explain itself by is characteristics. For that we need a theory that explains why people are where they are, doing what they are doing and making particular choices that are driven by particular motivations within a given context.
Read the Crime Science dysology here.
Wednesday, 5 January 2011
What is a spuriofact?
Introducing the Spuriofact Concept
Definition
A spuriofact is spurious information that is purported to be true by orthodox experts or official government sources. Spuriofacts are widely believed scientific fallacies, or else unsubstantiated scientific claims.
Adopting Princeton University moral philosopher Professor Harry Frankfurt's seminal distinction between lies and bullshit, spuriofacts can be either lies or bullshit.
Frankfurt (2005; pp. 60-61) defines bullshit as being distinct from lies in that a liar knows the truth and seeks to steer the recipient of the message away from the truth, whereas the bullshitter does not know what the truth is and is merely concerned with telling a plausible story:
“He does not reject the authority of the truth, as the liar does, and oppose himself to it at all. He pays no attention to it at all. By virtue of this, bullshit is a greater enemy of the truth than lies are.”
By way of example, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) is spreading bullshit, or else deliberate lies, (Sutton 2011a; 2011b) on the Internet regarding spinach being a good source of iron and regarding the benefits of vitamin C to aid the absorption of iron from spinach. The fact that these fallacies are promoted by a department of the US Government, charged with providing the general public and those who advise them on nutrition with orthodox expert advice, is what makes them spuriofacts.
Given the significant prevalence levels of iron deficiency in the USA (Looker et al 1997), and elsewhere in the world, these particular spuriofacts are dangerous counterknowledge.
Many people, worldwide, turn to the expert, orthodox nutritional advice provided by the USDA and believe it to be accurate. It seems reasonable to me, therefore, that the USDA should be called upon by the international community to cease and desist in its promotion of spuriofacts that are likely to adversely impact on rational nutritional choices and nutritional advice given by experts who rely upon USDA information.
References
Frankfurt, H. (2005). On Bullshit. Princeton N.J.. Princeton University Press.
Looker, A. Dallman. P. Carroll, M. Gunter, E. and Johnson, C. (1997) Prevalence of Iron Deficiency in the United States. Journal of the American Medical Association. 1997;277(12):973-976. doi: 10.1001/jama.1997.03540360041028. Available online: http://jama.ama-assn.org/content/277/12/973.abstract
Sutton, M. (2011a). Punterization in the Spin@ge: The USDA is Bull-Spreading on Spinach, Iron and Vitamin C. The Blog of Mike Sutton . Available online at: http://www.bestthinking.com/thinkers/science/social_sciences/sociology/mike-sutton?tab=blog&blogpostid=9830
Sutton, M. (2011b) SPIN@GE USA Beware of the Bull: The United States Department of Agriculture is Spreading Bull about Spinach, Iron and Vitamin C on the Internet. Available at: http://www.bestthinking.com/articles/science/chemistry/biochemistry/spin-ge-usa-beware-of-the-bull-the-united-states-department-of-agriculture-is-spreading-bull-about-spinach-iron-and-vitamin-c-on-the-internet
Definition
A spuriofact is spurious information that is purported to be true by orthodox experts or official government sources. Spuriofacts are widely believed scientific fallacies, or else unsubstantiated scientific claims.
Adopting Princeton University moral philosopher Professor Harry Frankfurt's seminal distinction between lies and bullshit, spuriofacts can be either lies or bullshit.
Frankfurt (2005; pp. 60-61) defines bullshit as being distinct from lies in that a liar knows the truth and seeks to steer the recipient of the message away from the truth, whereas the bullshitter does not know what the truth is and is merely concerned with telling a plausible story:
“He does not reject the authority of the truth, as the liar does, and oppose himself to it at all. He pays no attention to it at all. By virtue of this, bullshit is a greater enemy of the truth than lies are.”
By way of example, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) is spreading bullshit, or else deliberate lies, (Sutton 2011a; 2011b) on the Internet regarding spinach being a good source of iron and regarding the benefits of vitamin C to aid the absorption of iron from spinach. The fact that these fallacies are promoted by a department of the US Government, charged with providing the general public and those who advise them on nutrition with orthodox expert advice, is what makes them spuriofacts.
Given the significant prevalence levels of iron deficiency in the USA (Looker et al 1997), and elsewhere in the world, these particular spuriofacts are dangerous counterknowledge.
Many people, worldwide, turn to the expert, orthodox nutritional advice provided by the USDA and believe it to be accurate. It seems reasonable to me, therefore, that the USDA should be called upon by the international community to cease and desist in its promotion of spuriofacts that are likely to adversely impact on rational nutritional choices and nutritional advice given by experts who rely upon USDA information.
References
Frankfurt, H. (2005). On Bullshit. Princeton N.J.. Princeton University Press.
Looker, A. Dallman. P. Carroll, M. Gunter, E. and Johnson, C. (1997) Prevalence of Iron Deficiency in the United States. Journal of the American Medical Association. 1997;277(12):973-976. doi: 10.1001/jama.1997.03540360041028. Available online: http://jama.ama-assn.org/content/277/12/973.abstract
Sutton, M. (2011a). Punterization in the Spin@ge: The USDA is Bull-Spreading on Spinach, Iron and Vitamin C. The Blog of Mike Sutton . Available online at: http://www.bestthinking.com/thinkers/science/social_sciences/sociology/mike-sutton?tab=blog&blogpostid=9830
Sutton, M. (2011b) SPIN@GE USA Beware of the Bull: The United States Department of Agriculture is Spreading Bull about Spinach, Iron and Vitamin C on the Internet. Available at: http://www.bestthinking.com/articles/science/chemistry/biochemistry/spin-ge-usa-beware-of-the-bull-the-united-states-department-of-agriculture-is-spreading-bull-about-spinach-iron-and-vitamin-c-on-the-internet
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